Poll: Sim leads Vancouver mayoral race despite less than one-third supporting

According to a new poll from Research Co., current Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim is leading the pack for Vancouver’s fall 2026 mayoral election despite falling fall short of his 2022 winning result.

Among decided voters, Mayor Sim leads the field with 30 per cent saying they would vote to re-elect him as mayor, followed the Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam and the Green Party of Vancouver’s Pete Fry with 19 per cent each.

Colleen Hardwick of TEAM for a Livable Vancouver comes in at 14 per cent, followed by Rebecca Bligh of Vote Vancouver (7%), William Azaroff of OneCity Vancouver (5%) and Stephanie Allen of the Coalition of Progressive Electors (4%) in the single digits.

In the 2022 mayoral race, Sim defeated incumbent Kennedy Stewart with just under 51 per cent of the vote. Yet Sim could win re-election with a thin plurality due to the number of candidates running.

“The presence of many credible mayoral candidates has made it difficult for likely voters in Vancouver to solidify their choice for mayor,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co.

Voters opposing Sim’s re-election have not yet formed a consensus on who is best to take on the current mayor. Twenty per cent say Allam is best to defeat Sim, with Fry and Hardwick receiving 14 per cent and 11 per cent respectively. Fully 39 per cent cannot pick a single candidate best placed to defeat Sim.

One quarter (26%) of likely voters answered that they are still undecided, indicating that the horserace could change if those voters move heavily to one competitor.

Asked about mayoral candidates' favourability, Sim leads with 39 per cent, followed by Hardwick (36%), Allam (33%), Bligh (31%), Azaroff (25%) and Allen (24%).

When asked about municipal parties’ favourability, the Greens lead with 51 per cent, followed by the Liberals at 48 per cent, and OneCity at 44 per cents. Mayor Sims’ ABC comes in fourth at 42 per cent, followed by TEAM (41%), COPE (35%) and Vote Vancouver (34%).

Methodology: Results are based on an online survey conducted from July 30 to August 1, 2026, among 401 likely voters in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.